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Comments on: Government stimulus: Will Cullen be able to save the day? http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2008/01/24/government-stimulus-will-cullen-be-able-to-save-the-day/ The Visible Hand in Economics Wed, 23 Jan 2008 20:53:45 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.4 By: Claim Blog » Blog Archive » Government stimulus: Will Cullen be able to save the day? http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2008/01/24/government-stimulus-will-cullen-be-able-to-save-the-day/#comment-671 Wed, 23 Jan 2008 20:53:45 +0000 http://tvhe.wordpress.com/2008/01/24/government-stimulus-will-cullen-be-able-to-save-the-day/#comment-671 […] Roughtheory.org wrote an interesting post today on Government stimulus: Will Cullen be able to save the day?Here’s a quick excerptThis is a New Zealand blog, and as a result, I’m more interested in the claim that Michael Cullen will be able to intervene in the economy… […]

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By: Matt Nolan http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2008/01/24/government-stimulus-will-cullen-be-able-to-save-the-day/#comment-669 Wed, 23 Jan 2008 20:41:00 +0000 http://tvhe.wordpress.com/2008/01/24/government-stimulus-will-cullen-be-able-to-save-the-day/#comment-669 Hi Chris, great points, a few extra points I thought of were:

It’s bad if it takes longer to get a fiscal package through government than to cut interest rates (something more akin to the US government than the US government). Also because according to real business cycle theory a recession is the equilibrium reaction to an external shock – any stimulus will be inefficient.

It’s good because you can target areas of the economy that are struggling/spend in areas that provide the highest multiplier. Also the announcement is good by itself as it helps consumer confidence, which should by itself help stimulate domestic demand.

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By: CPW http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2008/01/24/government-stimulus-will-cullen-be-able-to-save-the-day/#comment-670 Wed, 23 Jan 2008 20:29:38 +0000 http://tvhe.wordpress.com/2008/01/24/government-stimulus-will-cullen-be-able-to-save-the-day/#comment-670 From what I’ve read (about the US position) the suggestion is often made that a fiscal stimulus (in the most pure form, sending everyone a cheque) normally impacts the economy more quickly than monetary policy (assuming simultaneous delivery). This might be all the more true in NZ with the predominance of fixed mortgage rates.

And then there’s the attractiveness of fiscal intervention if you’re concerned about a liquidity trap/ zero interest rate bound.

But generally I agree with you, I’m not a fan of using fiscal policy to fine-tune economic growth unless its a dire emergency. I don’t even think the US is necessarily in that situation yet (it’s only the fact that the problems originated in the credit markets, and thus monetary policy might prove ineffective, that might convince me otherwise)

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