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Comments on: Jawboning productivity? http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2008/05/16/jawboning-productivity/ The Visible Hand in Economics Tue, 27 May 2008 23:05:16 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.4 By: What is this savings problem? « The visible hand in economics http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2008/05/16/jawboning-productivity/#comment-1416 Tue, 27 May 2008 23:05:16 +0000 http://tvhe.wordpress.com/?p=374#comment-1416 […] increase in investment intentions and demand for capital. If this is the case we will have multiple equilibrium and government policy may be able to move us to a pareto superior […]

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By: Matt Nolan http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2008/05/16/jawboning-productivity/#comment-1415 Sun, 18 May 2008 23:37:23 +0000 http://tvhe.wordpress.com/?p=374#comment-1415 Hi Lynn,

I’m uncertain how any of this relates to Dr Cullen’s call for more investment. I was merely trying to come up with an explanation discussing why his call for investment might be a good way policy.

If you do want to discuss productivity though – which is an important and interesting issue, you could make a post at the standard and I’ll make a post for a reply (after replying to a post from Terrance 🙂 ).

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By: Lynn Prentice http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2008/05/16/jawboning-productivity/#comment-1414 Sun, 18 May 2008 00:14:27 +0000 http://tvhe.wordpress.com/?p=374#comment-1414 I forgot to put in the important point. Wage rate growth has been faster than NZ’s in the US, aussie, and most of the OECD since the 1970’s. Consequently the trade off point between capital investment in efficiency vs hiring another employee has been a lot lower. Similarly the availability of capital has been higher so more is available for risker ventures. Even the costs of capital have been less.

So those companies in those societies have been doing efficiency investments earlier and more consistently. You get a cumulative spin off effect because a single company getting a return off an efficiency investment forces their competitors to follow.

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By: Lynn Prentice http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2008/05/16/jawboning-productivity/#comment-1413 Sun, 18 May 2008 00:05:29 +0000 http://tvhe.wordpress.com/?p=374#comment-1413 Not from an economic viewpoint, but from a business. There are two sides to the productivity issue. One side is infrastructure in its broadest sense which I’ll skip because the current government has been doing good work in improving it.

The second is that in my experience you seldom get productivity increases at a company level unless there is a compelling reason to do it. The easy ones are usually done early.

The harder ones usually require up-front money to be invested well before you see any results. Managers will always try other alternatives in NZ to capital expenditure, because capital is a hard resource to get, and carries expensive costs both in interest and in company control. That shows up particularly strongly in my industry of software development.

If you have the ability to hire someone, then it is usually cheaper to do that rather than putting in hardware, software or systems. The gains to the bottom line usually happen far more rapidly.

It is only after the cost of labour goes up, or the availability of the required skills goes down that you start looking at how to get better use from your existing staff.

You notice that in the treasury graph that productivity decreases when unemployment became widespread here in the mid to late 70’s. Given the chronic shortage of capital here for any type of risk, it has been cheaper and less risky since then to hire more low-wage people to increase bottom line profits.

Productivity is raising its head now as an issue because effectively everyone who could be employed is. It shows as chronic skill shortages and increasing wage demands. So managers start getting concerned about how to use their existing staff more efficiently.

That is my take on it..

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