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Comments on: Recession in New Zealand: What does iPredict say? http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2008/09/16/recession-in-new-zealand-what-does-ipredict-say/ The Visible Hand in Economics Mon, 22 Sep 2008 20:06:15 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.4 By: June 2008 GDP preview: Recession! « The visible hand in economics http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2008/09/16/recession-in-new-zealand-what-does-ipredict-say/#comment-2470 Mon, 22 Sep 2008 20:06:15 +0000 http://tvhe.wordpress.com/?p=1158#comment-2470 […] if you are interested in the recession call, keep an eye on March – if March is revised positive then we haven’t had a “technical recession” in that sense. Possibly related […]

]]> By: Security And Prosperity Partnership http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2008/09/16/recession-in-new-zealand-what-does-ipredict-say/#comment-2462 Tue, 16 Sep 2008 10:09:09 +0000 http://tvhe.wordpress.com/?p=1158#comment-2462 the basis of half the marriages of my generation.GoreVidalGore Vidal

]]> By: Matt Nolan http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2008/09/16/recession-in-new-zealand-what-does-ipredict-say/#comment-2467 Tue, 16 Sep 2008 03:07:17 +0000 http://tvhe.wordpress.com/?p=1158#comment-2467 “Well their graphs are far from easy to read but it would seem to me that the only plunge took place on Sep 10 or Sep 11 – the price went from 93 to 83. Am I missing something?”

I was told by Goonix that the contract slumped to 0.70c at some point on either Saturday or Sunday (I wasn’t entirely clear). My suspicion would be Saturday (although I got his text on Sunday) as that was the day when the daily index dipped from 0.93 to 0.83, and the day when there was a ridiculous number of trades – on the 13th.

]]> By: CPW http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2008/09/16/recession-in-new-zealand-what-does-ipredict-say/#comment-2466 Tue, 16 Sep 2008 03:00:08 +0000 http://tvhe.wordpress.com/?p=1158#comment-2466 Well their graphs are far from easy to read but it would seem to me that the only plunge took place on Sep 10 or Sep 11 – the price went from 93 to 83. Am I missing something?

]]> By: Business blog » Blog Archive » Recession in New Zealand: What does iPredict say? http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2008/09/16/recession-in-new-zealand-what-does-ipredict-say/#comment-2465 Tue, 16 Sep 2008 02:24:05 +0000 http://tvhe.wordpress.com/?p=1158#comment-2465 […] Read the rest of this great post here […]

]]> By: Matt Nolan http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2008/09/16/recession-in-new-zealand-what-does-ipredict-say/#comment-2463 Tue, 16 Sep 2008 02:01:44 +0000 http://tvhe.wordpress.com/?p=1158#comment-2463 “Just looking at the page it seem like a more realistic explanation is that the price moved when they clarified the contract rules on Sep 09.”

But the plunge in prices was on September 13-14 – did it really take that long for that clarification to get through?

]]> By: CPW http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2008/09/16/recession-in-new-zealand-what-does-ipredict-say/#comment-2464 Tue, 16 Sep 2008 01:59:12 +0000 http://tvhe.wordpress.com/?p=1158#comment-2464 Just looking at the page it seem like a more realistic explanation is that the price moved when they clarified the contract rules on Sep 09.

]]> By: ezineaerticles » Blog Archive » Recession in New Zealand: What does iPredict say? http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2008/09/16/recession-in-new-zealand-what-does-ipredict-say/#comment-2469 Tue, 16 Sep 2008 01:33:49 +0000 http://tvhe.wordpress.com/?p=1158#comment-2469 […] Original Matt Nolan […]

]]> By: Conspirama http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2008/09/16/recession-in-new-zealand-what-does-ipredict-say/#comment-2468 Tue, 16 Sep 2008 01:15:53 +0000 http://tvhe.wordpress.com/?p=1158#comment-2468 Recession in New Zealand: What does iPredict say?…

Now interestingly, Goonix (who is a big fan of iPredict) said that the contract slumped to 0.70c on Sunday (suggesting that there is a 70% chance of a recession) – well down on the 0.93 it was recording a couple of days earlier. ……

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