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]]>Yes but it will take a long time before the income per capita of China and India reach the levels of the US and the EU, so the US and EU will still be big importers of our products and India and China less so.
It’s not like there’s a substitution going on. Our Anglo markets are growing and our Asian markets are growing faster.
]]>Yes the US and EU will remain important, and yes Chinese and Indian per capita GDP is a long way below US and EU per capita income.
However, we have already seen our trade position switch sharply towards Asia – nearly 25% of our trade now goes to Asia ex Aussie!
Given the faster growth in total income in Asia (which is what matters given that we are looking at commodity demand) and given that it is cheaper to ship to Asia then to the US or EU this is a positive structural development for NZ.
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Matt Nolan :
@steve
Spot on comment Steve, spot on.
Yes but it will take a long time before the income per capita of China and India reach the levels of the US and the EU, so the US and EU will still be big importers of our products and India and China less so.
]]>Spot on comment Steve, spot on.
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