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Comments on: Why QE will (and should) lead to inflation past the Fed target http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2010/11/19/why-qe-will-lead-to-inflation-past-the-fed-target/ The Visible Hand in Economics Mon, 29 Nov 2010 02:02:42 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.4 By: TVHE » QE2: Is the Fed “mistaken” on purpose http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2010/11/19/why-qe-will-lead-to-inflation-past-the-fed-target/#comment-31585 Mon, 29 Nov 2010 02:02:42 +0000 http://www.tvhe.co.nz/?p=5542#comment-31585 […] see QE2 slightly differently.  QE is partially a means of getting the Fed to commit itself to lower interest rates in the future, by introducing the “loss on bonds” in […]

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By: finallyfast http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2010/11/19/why-qe-will-lead-to-inflation-past-the-fed-target/#comment-31406 Sun, 21 Nov 2010 16:35:58 +0000 http://www.tvhe.co.nz/?p=5542#comment-31406 Thanks for the post Matt. Just in case people don’t know, Quantitative Easing refers to the monetary policy used by central banks to increase the supply of money. This is done by adding to reserves by purchasing government bonds. This usually is done to stabilize or raise prices, reducing LT interest rates. Personally I think that the QE’s are ridiculous because the system that justifies them is virtually useless.

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By: Falafulu Fisi http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2010/11/19/why-qe-will-lead-to-inflation-past-the-fed-target/#comment-31394 Sat, 20 Nov 2010 02:49:21 +0000 http://www.tvhe.co.nz/?p=5542#comment-31394 Matt said…
But one thing we have to be honest about is that it WILL, if it is done right, lead to inflation past the target at some point in the future.

What is your definition of done right and done wrong? Do the Feds officials have psychic power to foresee the future?

Wasn’t QE1 supposed to be done right in the first place? If it was done wrong, then why is anyone expecting that this QE2 will be done right? Who (officials) or what (models) decides the doing right and wrong? One thing I am pretty certain about is that the FEDs does use DSGE in their forecasting, which has misfired more often than making correct predictions.

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By: inspiroHost http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2010/11/19/why-qe-will-lead-to-inflation-past-the-fed-target/#comment-31388 Fri, 19 Nov 2010 10:57:25 +0000 http://www.tvhe.co.nz/?p=5542#comment-31388 For those who don’t know what QE is, QE stands for Quantitative Easing which is a monetary policy used by some central banks to increase the supply of money by increasing the excess reserves of the banking system, generally through buying of the central government’s own bonds to stabilize or raise their prices and thereby lower long-term interest rates.

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By: Tribeless http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2010/11/19/why-qe-will-lead-to-inflation-past-the-fed-target/#comment-31385 Fri, 19 Nov 2010 04:15:36 +0000 http://www.tvhe.co.nz/?p=5542#comment-31385 I think QE II (and I and III, IV, V…) are insane because the Statist system that justifies them is insane, and, more importantly, philosophically abhorrent as this system supports the bigger and bigger State, and therefore diminishing personal freedom.

… If you want a value judgement.

Economist Donald J. Boudreaux at Cafe Hayek has been surpassing himself lately. For example today’s post: http://cafehayek.com/2010/11/inflated-reputation.html

Quote:

George Will doubts the Fed’s ability to carry out its “dual mandate” (“The trap of the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate,” Nov. 18). His doubt is well-founded.

This mandate, as described in 2007 by Federal Reserve governor Frederic Mishkin, is for the Fed “to promote the two coequal objectives of maximum employment and price stability.”

How’s it doing?

The Great Depression occurred on the Fed’s watch, as have several other recessions. As for price stability, from the Fed’s creation (in 1913) to 1945, the dollar lost 45 percent of its value; between 1945 and 1980 it lost another 78 percent of its value; and between 1980 and today yet another 62 percent of the dollar’s value was inflated away. All told, during the less than 100 years that the Fed has been charged with keeping the value of the dollar stable, the dollar has lost 95 percent of its value. This shrinkage in the dollar’s value since 1913 is especially striking in light of the fact that, between 1790 and 1913, the dollar’s value declined by only about 8 percent.*

Given this performance, Americans should be well and truly fed up.

Sincerely,
Donald J. Boudreaux

* See George Selgin, William D. Lastrapes, & Lawrence H. White, “Has the Fed Been a Failure?” (Working paper, Nov. 2010), p. 3:

far from achieving long-run price stability, it [the Fed] has allowed the purchasing power of the U.S. dollar, which was hardly different on the eve of the Fed’s creation from what it had been at the time of the dollar‘s establishment as the official U.S. monetary unit, to fall dramatically. A consumer basket selling for $100 in 1790 cost only slightly more, at $108, than its (admittedly very rough) equivalent in 1913. But thereafter the price soared, reaching $2422 in 2008.

Friday night; what time to the beers start then Matt?

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