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Comments on: Football referees aren’t just wrong, they’re biased http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2014/06/16/football-referees-arent-just-wrong-theyre-biased/ The Visible Hand in Economics Tue, 17 Jun 2014 07:31:00 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.4 By: jamesz http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2014/06/16/football-referees-arent-just-wrong-theyre-biased/#comment-43407 Tue, 17 Jun 2014 07:31:00 +0000 http://www.tvhe.co.nz/?p=11545#comment-43407 In reply to Vanilla_Thrilla.

Good point: we wouldn’t necessarily expect the penalties to be 50:50 if it were unbiased. It’s not actually a paper, just a blog post so you could even do some follow-up analysis yourself to check the expected distribution.

Fair enough about the penalty. I only meant it has been contested; I didn’t intend to express a view about which way it should have fallen!

]]> By: Vanilla_Thrilla http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2014/06/16/football-referees-arent-just-wrong-theyre-biased/#comment-43406 Tue, 17 Jun 2014 03:45:00 +0000 http://www.tvhe.co.nz/?p=11545#comment-43406 Apologies I haven’t read the paper but I wonder if the 70:30 split at least
partially reflects the fact that home teams do better at home, and therefore are likely to be in the away team’s penalty box more often? The share of second penalties I would think provides stronger evidence of bias.

As to the dubiousness of the penalty you mention I would disagree for the reasons outlined in this post: http://occasionalthoughtsonsport.wordpress.com/2014/06/12/wc2014-brazil-croatia-penalty/

If you don’t want some poncy soccer player to flap around on the ground like a salmon, don’t grab his shoulder in front of the ref

]]> By: lalitha http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2014/06/16/football-referees-arent-just-wrong-theyre-biased/#comment-43403 Mon, 16 Jun 2014 12:51:00 +0000 http://www.tvhe.co.nz/?p=11545#comment-43403 I think your approach is pretty good. Most bloggers won’t have anything as elaborate or systematic as I do.

Sounds like you have something that works well within your personality and schedule. Perfecto!

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