If you are not happy with the results below please do another search
Everyone agrees that the key number to look out for today will be the unemployment rate – although significant declines in hours worked and employment will also be of interest. There is talk of unemployment reaching 4.7% in the market – I’m a little more pessimistic, but lets just put that to the side. Update: […]
Over at Economist’s View there is an interesting piece from a book named “History of Economic Thought: A Critical Perspective”. Now I don’t disagree with large parts of this. It is indeed fallacious to state that any CONCLUSION is value free – as it never is. However, I feel that the piece mixes up its […]
So on Christmas eve we get a special present – confirmation that we have so far had a three quarter recession 🙁 The main market in town, iPredict, is spot on with the 95% pick for a negative GDP quarter. Let us discuss 🙂 :
Here are some sites that we like to read. New Zealand econ/social science sites Aaron Schiff. Anti-Dismal. Brennan McDonald. Econfix. Economics New Zealand. Economics Today. Ellipsister. Fair play and forward passes. Gareth Morgan. Groping to Bethlehem Not PC. NZAE blog. Offsetting behaviour. Peter Winsley. Prod Blog (NZ Productivity Commission). Rates Blog. Roger Kerr. Sex, drugs, […]
Or so says John Key. Very interesting. Ok, as Prime Minister, John Key needs to stop talking about monetary policy!!! Luckily Kiwiblog has already covered this – so you won’t get another rant from me 😉 I am not sure whether he is speculating, or whether he’s been briefed and then wandered off and spilled […]
I’m going with a 75 basis point cut on December 4. Now no-one might agree with this, iPredicit certainly doesn’t (putting the probability at 3% when I looked), but there are reasons: Update: I brought some 75 shares in iPredict after posting this post – because agnitio told me to. Petrol price collapse (which might […]