«

»

Mar
18
2009

Keep an eye on migration tomorrow

My economics tea leaves are suggesting to me that there will be fewer than 4,747 departures to Australia in the February figures. If this is the case, the number of departures to Australia will be LOWER than in Feb 2008.

It is this sort of speculation that is giving me dreams suggesting that net migration will pick up quite quickly, very interesting.

The reason I think it is important to keep an eye on this is because I’m getting hacked off with news stories talking about the “huge outflow to Australia” when its growth has been drastically slowing since the end of 2008 :P

Update:  Realised today is Wednesday – not Thursday.  The numbers are out on Friday :P

About the author

Matt Nolan

Matt Nolan is an economist at Infometrics (although the opinions expressed are independent of the organisation) . Email: nolan.matt@gmail.com; matt@infometrics.co.nz. Work phone: 04-496-5290

Permanent link to this article: http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2009/03/18/keep-an-eye-on-migration-tomorrow/

1 ping

  1. People have decided to stop going to Aussie - go the collapsing labour market | TVHE says:

    [...] fewer people leaving to Aussie this February than in Feb 08.  The economics tea leaves never leave me wanting – maybe I need to incorporate them into my forecasting [...]

Comments have been disabled.

Bad Behavior has blocked 2791 access attempts in the last 7 days.


View My Stats"; //-->