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Testing my economic knowledge

July 27th, 2010 Matt Nolan 3 comments

Not PC has a quiz up on economics stuff – I thought it would be fun to do.  So here goes.

1)  Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures a country’s total economic activity.

Answer:  False.  As it excludes activities where the market isn’t explicit.

2)  Consumer spending represents around two-thirds of the economy.

Answer:  Depends how you define “economy”.  It is around 2/3 of the expenditure measure of GDP sure, but that doesn’t really tell us much.  When we say “economy” my guess is we are thinking along the lines of all activity, and in a production sense, so I’d probably guess the answer would be false.

3)  If prices are stable, that means there is no inflation.

Answer:  Depends how we define inflation, and depends how we define prices.  If the price of a quality adjusted unit of all good or services were unchanged, then inflation as defined by an economist would be zero.  Given that we can observe no change in a price index and still have inflation (depending on changes in quality, or shifts in relative prices) I would say the answer here is false.

4)  Money is a creation of government.

Answer:  Currently money is created by the sovereign state – but this doesn’t mean that money would only exist if we had a centrally organised authority guiding it.  As a result this could be true or false.

Given that the question says “is” I am assuming it is talking about money that is currently in circulation – and yes that money is created by the state, and individuals use it when trading with each other in order to lower the search cost associated with trade (relative to a barter economy).  So I would say true.

5) A period of gently falling prices is a bad thing.

False:  We just need a single counterfactual here.  So if prices are gradually declining, and economic agents expect them to, then there is no problem.  Furthermore, if this drop is the result of productivity improvements that is a nice thing.

6)  Before the Reserve Bank/Fed/Bank of England was created, the world was wracked with inflations, booms and busts.

True:  Back in the day there was indeed lots of volatility in prices and in output.  Sure the price level was on “average” stable – but hell did it move around!!!  Now we have booms and busts nowadays, and there are likely issues with the way monetary policy is put in place – sure.  But I take the fact that prices have risen gently over time during the last 30 years as an indication that central bank policy has increased certainty for economic agents – which is a good thing.

7)  Economics is a “value-free” science

False:  No science is “value-free” in the most extreme definition of the word.  However, economics does attempt to make its premises and the link to conclusions obvious such that any debatable value judgments are clear.

When economists describe a situation they are relatively close to value-free, when they make a conclusion they are far from it.  However, I think that the economic method is very good – I appreciate the transparency associated with it.  But I realise that a truly “value-free” science is a myth.

8)  Saving takes money out of the economy

False:  This doesn’t need explanation does it. In fact, to be honest I’d need a good definition of “money” and “economy” before I could answer this clearly.

9)  Interest rates are set by the Central Bank.

Yes and no.

Central banks set the “opportunity cost” of lending/borrowing for banks.  As a result, they tend to control marginal funding and therefore price.  They can “control” long-rates through peoples expectations of their future actions as well.

However, interest rates depend on a whole range of other factors – such as risk, and interest rates globally.  That is why we see interest rates move around a lot even when the central authority isn’t doing anything.

If all the other factors are constant then, yes it is TRUE central banks do set the opportunity cost of lending and borrowing and thereby control the interest rate.

10)  A good war is good for the economy

False:  Unless people value war I guess …

11)  Government spending pumps up an economy in depression

Depends how we define a depression.

If we define a depression as a sharp drop in economic activity, where the relative price of labour isn’t able to decline, and where monetary authorities are unwilling to print money to help this adjust, then there is a potential role for government.

Given the behaviour of economic agents, and given the very real labour market issues in the face of a rare “depression” then yes, it is TRUE government spending can increase activity by getting otherwise unemployed labour doing something.

Note:  A depression is an effective supply side failure – we have a market failure in the labour market that implies there is “money on the ground”.  This is a very rare situation.

12)  Banks are inherently bankrupt.

False:  I am not sure what this question means.  Literally they aren’t bankrupt as they have money (and a claim on loans).  Figuratively they aren’t morally bankrupt as they are just providing a service to help lenders and borrowers meet – and to pool risk.

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All Whites

June 21st, 2010 Matt Nolan 1 comment

Sorry I haven’t been posting – been extremely busy, and although I have some ideas I won’t have time to write until next week.

On that note though – New Zealand has managed draws against Slovakia and Italy.  We beat Paraguay we are, regardless of other results, through to the last 16.  Wow – good stuff All Whites :D

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Football Friday: Fifa World Cup 2010

May 28th, 2010 The Hand 8 comments

Some of the writers from TVHE have grouped together with other football fans to write a football blog.  The current focus of this blog is on the 2010 Fifa World Cup.  It can be found here:

http://vuvuzelaventing.wordpress.com/

On the blog they go through their views on the different World Cup groups, and who they think will end up taking out the cup.  All very interesting.  I suggest you go along and have a look – they currently have posts up for groups A, B, and C.

Go the All Whites :D

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1000 posts

May 26th, 2010 Matt Nolan 11 comments

It seems I’ve done over 1000 posts in about 34 months.

I must have written a lot of crap – my apologises to everyone that get forced into reading it ;)

I would pick a favourite post, but I can’t remember what I’ve written about.  I view the blog as a tool for two things you see:

  1. A collection of my opinions at points in time so I don’t have to remember them – I can just look them up and “refresh” my ideas.
  2. A place where I can get feedback on my analysis of a situation – so you guys are really teaching me stuff.

Anyway – thanks for catching me out on the many occasions when I’ve said dumb stuff :D

Update:  Actually, my favourite posts were the Sweeney Todd ones (first and second) – I decided this after talking to my boss about movies.  However, I have now realised I don’t know what my favourite movie is :/

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All Whites vs Australia

May 24th, 2010 The Hand 20 comments

Tonight at 9.30pm (NZ time) the All Whites will take on Australia over in Melbourne.  The squad is named here (expected Aussie squad here).

Everyone at TVHE is very excited that the All Whites have qualified for the World Cup, and also pumped for the match against the Aussies tonight.  So pumped that Nolan put down $5 on NZ to win (at 10:1).

So good luck boys, we are looking forward to watching you get amongst.

Update:  Feel free to go into comments and discuss your fantasy squad for today ;) .  Also Yellow Fever discussion is here (pg 21 is where we get more into game day).

Update:  All Whites lost 2-1.  Up 1-0 at half-time.  Great performance boys.  And seriously, our first team looks pretty good – its going to be a great World Cup :)

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Football interlude: Go to the Phoenix game

February 21st, 2010 Matt Nolan 5 comments

We (the Phoenix) have a home “semi” today.  Now the use of the word semi is strange – if we win, we play the Newcastle Jets.  If we win that we play the loser of the two legged playoff between Sydney and Melbourne.  If we win that, we play the winner of the two legged playoff and are champions.

Anyway, we have a home game today in the finals round.  So get down to Westpac Stadium and support the Phoenix – the game is at 5pm.

That is all.

PS Actually, I think if we win today then we have another home game – spectacular!

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Review: Mass Effect 2

February 2nd, 2010 Matt Nolan 3 comments

Taking a brief break from discussing economics I thought I should mention a new Xbox game called Mass Effect 2 (reviews).

Why am I mentioning this.  Two reasons:  I don’t have time to put any thought into a post as I am extremely busy (which rules out most economics ;-) ), and it is the best game I’ve every played.  It is like a good movie, with entertaining action and a strong story.  I figure this is a blog, so I can really write about anything anyway as long as I’m not breaking the law ;-)

Experiences during the game are strongly based on what you did in the prior game – quite a breakthrough for games.

I haven’t wanted to replay a game this much since Knights of the Old Republic 2, and I haven’t appreciated the story and the tie in of characters this much in a game since Ultima 7.  As a result, I’ve immediately lent my copy of the game to a friend so I can’t play it anymore and can get some work done.

My one qualm is that Bioware seems to find a way of making the sex scenes in their games more and more uncomfortable with each game they release.  I don’t know what it is, it just feels like other emotions/interactions in the game are treated with such depth (and awesome amounts of moral ambiguity), whereas the “love/sex” chains feel more contrived.

Note:  I seriously recommend playing through Mass Effect 1 and then importing your save game for Mass Effect 2, it just adds that little bit to the experience.

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Economists and opportunity cost

January 7th, 2010 Matt Nolan 2 comments

The Wall Street Journal has an article that discusses how economists are “cheapskates”. I probably wouldn’t use that term, I would say that economists understand the opportunity cost of different choices and so can pick more objectively between alternatives.

Anyway, what struck me was this passage:

Economist Robert Gordon, of Northwestern University, says he drives out of his way to go to a grocery store where prices are cheaper than at the nearby Whole Foods, even though it takes him an extra half hour to save no more than $5.

So an economics professor only values his time at $10 an hour?  Seriously, what the hell.  This seems like a terrible choice to me.  The only ways I can rationalise this are:

  1. He is exaggerating because he gets some pleasure from that,
  2. He gets some consumption value from driving out to the other supermarket and saving a bit of money.
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Karl du Fresne’s review of Avatar

January 6th, 2010 Matt Nolan 9 comments

Is spot on (ht Offsetting Behaviour).  I can’t remember the last time I got as genuinely bored in a movie as I did with Avatar.  The scenery and graphics were beautiful, but the acting and story were both atrocious.

I tried to enjoy it, hell I even did enjoy it for the first 30 mins.  But over time the lack of story combined with the fact that how “beautiful the animation is” was being rammed repeated and unnecessarily down my throat made me both bored and a little bit irritated.

However, to be fair almost no-one seems to agree with this negative view.  IMDB is currently giving it 8.7/10.  The Dim Post also reviews.

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Evolving blog focus

January 5th, 2010 Matt Nolan 16 comments

I was recently accused (by co-author Goonix) of becoming more libertarian over the past 2 1/2 years.  Now I don’t agree, I think I am where I was in July 2007.  However, it is evident that the particular focus of the blog has evolved since then.

Read more…

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