Entries by Matt Nolan

January 08 OCR review: OCR on hold at 8.25%

As everyone expected the OCR is unchanged at 8.25%.  The statement was decidedly neutral, stating that everything is happening inline with their December forecasts, however uncertainty has increased.  As they did not state whether it is downside or upside risk they are concerned about (we cannot just presume it is downside risk), any change in […]

OCR review preview: a surprise cash rate cut in the US

Tomorrow will see the Reserve Bank decide whether to lift the official cash rate.  Pushing them towards lifting rates will be a high CPI reading (although non-tradables was weaker than expected), the strong inflationary pressures illustrated in NZIERs quarterly survey of business opinion, and the fact that inflation expectations are threatening to become entrenched at […]