All Whites

Sorry I haven’t been posting – been extremely busy, and although I have some ideas I won’t have time to write until next week.

On that note though – New Zealand has managed draws against Slovakia and Italy.  We beat Paraguay we are, regardless of other results, through to the last 16.  Wow – good stuff All Whites 😀

RBNZ lifts rates for first time in three years

So the OCR went up 25 basis points.  Cool, that is nice.

It was almost entirely in line with expectations so there isn’t much to say, except:

  1. They more explicitly discussed Eric’s concerns regarding the impact of ETS increases into inflation expectations.
  2. They put table 5.2 in which talked about “who got what” from tax cuts.  OMG, seriously – this table was unnecessary.
  3. The continued to state that there is no real reason for our TOT to hold up – so a lot of the issues I’ve viewed as “structural” (rising commodity demand from China’s middle classes, Biofuels, falling subsidies on agriculture around the world) are being viewed as temporary by the Bank methinks.  This is why I will always disagree with their medium term forecasts …

The taxing issue of burden

One thing I have noticed of late is that many people want to talk about tax cuts in terms of “who gets what”.  We see someone with an income of $XXX and say they will get $Y a week from the tax cut.  I find this perplexing as I have never seen tax this way.

The reason why I find this way of looking at tax changes strange is that it ignores how prices change in response to the structure of the tax system.  I fear that, to many people, this seems like a benign (possibly even esoteric) issue – when actually it is one of the most essential issues to keep in mind when thinking about the design of a tax system.

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Solving the prisoner’s dilemma

Saturday morning breakfast ceral has an excellent comic regarding the prisoner’s dilemma.  Of course, I was bound to appreciate it given my view that Jesus was an early applied economist.

A note on moral vice

Apologises in advance for this heavily value ladden post.  I am touching on infinitely busy (again), I’m very tired, and I’ve been listening to “too much” Irish music.  As a result, I’m posting what is in my head rather than proactively trying to find an economic issue to write “objectively” about – as this is easier, and it still involves getting a post done 😀

When forming my value judgments regarding “moral vices”, I like to listen to the Dubliners.  Having a proud Irish heritage helps in this regard, and I feel that they raise a number of important points regarding addiction to common commodities I can relate to (alcohol, women, cigarettes, roving).

Listening to their songs recently, two underlying points suck out – points I felt would be useful in informing part of the debate on alcohol regulation.

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A note on the ETS and inflation

I was about to post a comment on Eric’s blog – but then the comment got long, and I realised I needed a blog post.  So here it is.

Eric Crampton raises some important points regarding the Reserve Bank’s view on the ETS in New Zealand.  Essentially, they are ignoring it – a policy decision that a lot of analysts have disagreed with.  However, this is one of those cases where I would tend to side with the Reserve Bank, lets work through the discussion to figure out what value judgments I’ve made to get there 😉

UpdateEric discusses further here.

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