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We’ve all met hardened cynics in our professional lives. Those people who think the worst of those they meet at every turn because they’ve been burned so many times. They give nobody the benefit of the doubt and look down on new staff for their hopelessly naivety and gullibility. The question posed by a group […]
Chris Blattman: Most papers that show “history matters” try to convince us of some general theory of development from their very specific case study. We like our papers to tell us that the world is systematic and the forces of development are deterministic. Judging by the paucity of papers that say so, however, we don’t […]
We’ve been slightly obsessed with Deirdre McCloskey on TVHE for quite a while now but only just got around to reading her book, ‘The Rhetoric of Economics’, recently. The central premise of the book is that economists write to persuade, so we can use the theory of rhetoric to analyse economists’ writings and arguments. She […]
With people in NZ constantly yelling about the dollar, and yelling at the Reserve Bank, I thought I would host a hypothetical discussion that hopefully helps to explain the issues – and why inflation targeting isn’t the cause of any of the perceived problems. Here it goes: Intelligent non-economist (INE): The dollar is too high, […]
We’ve written a lot previously about cigarette taxes as a precommitment device that can increase welfare. However, while those models fit the stylised facts, it’s hard to know for sure if people are better off. For that you’d need to make a prediction about their increase in subjective wellbeing and test it. Now a couple […]
Simon Nixon has a provocative article in the WSJ where he argues that the current generation of New Keynesian models are useless because of their poor forecast performance. He proposes looking solely at the rate of debt reduction when forecasting economic performance: [The] dismal science’s [forecasting] record suggests is that there is something profoundly wrong […]